Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 3:28 PM, 320 voters in 36 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 217,051 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 187,634 - 237,832). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 3:28 PM 3303 c(2.5% = 2966) c(97.5% = 3557)
02 3:28 PM 5068 c(2.5% = 4601) c(97.5% = 5496)
03 3:28 PM 2825 c(2.5% = 2367) c(97.5% = 3168)
04 3:28 PM 2779 c(2.5% = 2342) c(97.5% = 3195)
05 3:28 PM 7408 c(2.5% = 6629) c(97.5% = 8231)
06 3:28 PM 1906 c(2.5% = 1653) c(97.5% = 2116)
07 3:28 PM 1703 c(2.5% = 1110) c(97.5% = 2144)
08 3:28 PM 6857 c(2.5% = 6180) c(97.5% = 7446)
09 3:28 PM 3247 c(2.5% = 2913) c(97.5% = 3748)
10 3:28 PM 4117 c(2.5% = 3494) c(97.5% = 4693)
11 3:28 PM 1765 c(2.5% = 1469) c(97.5% = 2072)
12 3:28 PM 3075 c(2.5% = 2614) c(97.5% = 3487)
13 3:28 PM 2760 c(2.5% = 2332) c(97.5% = 3176)
14 3:28 PM 1229 c(2.5% = 1085) c(97.5% = 1342)
15 3:28 PM 3536 c(2.5% = 3248) c(97.5% = 3764)
16 3:28 PM 1461 c(2.5% = 1206) c(97.5% = 1723)
17 3:28 PM 3408 c(2.5% = 2902) c(97.5% = 3914)
18 3:28 PM 3177 c(2.5% = 2720) c(97.5% = 3603)
19 3:28 PM 1387 c(2.5% = 1019) c(97.5% = 1659)
20 3:28 PM 1332 c(2.5% = 981) c(97.5% = 1574)
21 3:28 PM 7937 c(2.5% = 6874) c(97.5% = 8829)
22 3:28 PM 4469 c(2.5% = 3824) c(97.5% = 4996)
23 3:28 PM 2555 c(2.5% = 2084) c(97.5% = 2844)
24 3:28 PM 2145 c(2.5% = 1670) c(97.5% = 2479)
25 3:28 PM 2023 c(2.5% = 1517) c(97.5% = 2405)
26 3:28 PM 3058 c(2.5% = 2547) c(97.5% = 3297)
27 3:28 PM 3619 c(2.5% = 2502) c(97.5% = 5271)
28 3:28 PM 1559 c(2.5% = 1281) c(97.5% = 1850)
29 3:28 PM 1602 c(2.5% = 1393) c(97.5% = 1793)
30 3:28 PM 3173 c(2.5% = 2879) c(97.5% = 3417)
31 3:28 PM 2758 c(2.5% = 2272) c(97.5% = 3056)
32 3:28 PM 2581 c(2.5% = 2145) c(97.5% = 2949)
33 3:28 PM 2024 c(2.5% = 1336) c(97.5% = 2545)
34 3:28 PM 5855 c(2.5% = 5076) c(97.5% = 6496)
35 3:28 PM 3839 c(2.5% = 3040) c(97.5% = 4354)
36 3:28 PM 4883 c(2.5% = 4266) c(97.5% = 5317)
37 3:28 PM 1651 c(2.5% = 1361) c(97.5% = 1924)
38 3:28 PM 2915 c(2.5% = 2557) c(97.5% = 3264)
39 3:28 PM 5935 c(2.5% = 5137) c(97.5% = 6457)
40 3:28 PM 6005 c(2.5% = 4721) c(97.5% = 6546)
41 3:28 PM 2295 c(2.5% = 1747) c(97.5% = 2653)
42 3:28 PM 2910 c(2.5% = 2119) c(97.5% = 3353)
43 3:28 PM 2269 c(2.5% = 1714) c(97.5% = 2609)
44 3:28 PM 1868 c(2.5% = 1576) c(97.5% = 2143)
45 3:28 PM 2574 c(2.5% = 1991) c(97.5% = 3000)
46 3:28 PM 3555 c(2.5% = 3224) c(97.5% = 3938)
47 3:28 PM 1142 c(2.5% = 964) c(97.5% = 1249)
48 3:28 PM 2667 c(2.5% = 2141) c(97.5% = 2931)
49 3:28 PM 3408 c(2.5% = 2878) c(97.5% = 3799)
50 3:28 PM 4877 c(2.5% = 4173) c(97.5% = 5514)
51 3:28 PM 3043 c(2.5% = 2612) c(97.5% = 3500)
52 3:28 PM 3815 c(2.5% = 3263) c(97.5% = 4374)
53 3:28 PM 2572 c(2.5% = 2017) c(97.5% = 2941)
54 3:28 PM 1808 c(2.5% = 1272) c(97.5% = 2204)
55 3:28 PM 2953 c(2.5% = 2208) c(97.5% = 3479)
56 3:28 PM 4357 c(2.5% = 3402) c(97.5% = 5010)
57 3:28 PM 3828 c(2.5% = 3039) c(97.5% = 4293)
58 3:28 PM 6342 c(2.5% = 5045) c(97.5% = 7251)
59 3:28 PM 3311 c(2.5% = 2857) c(97.5% = 3697)
60 3:28 PM 2687 c(2.5% = 2323) c(97.5% = 3001)
61 3:28 PM 3977 c(2.5% = 3176) c(97.5% = 4310)
62 3:28 PM 2738 c(2.5% = 2027) c(97.5% = 3208)
63 3:28 PM 3669 c(2.5% = 3072) c(97.5% = 4104)
64 3:28 PM 2049 c(2.5% = 1586) c(97.5% = 2365)
65 3:28 PM 3050 c(2.5% = 2446) c(97.5% = 3418)
66 3:28 PM 6361 c(2.5% = 5273) c(97.5% = 7064)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6
2:47 PM 2133 268
8:02 AM 0815 48
11:45 AM 1817 193
12:35 PM 3634 92
7:40 AM 3602 16
2:59 PM 0532 215
2:59 PM 0517 210
9:30 AM 1508 100
2:00 PM 0813 128
3:10 PM 0537 135
3:10 PM 0501 140
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:00 PM 2314 177
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:50 PM 4617 154
10:00 AM 0537 50
3:20 PM 6008 102
10:10 AM 4623 72
3:20 PM 6012 143
8:00 AM 3636 75
3:21 PM 6023 141
8:15 AM 6324 27
3:22 PM 6002 164
3:22 PM 1509 154
3:23 PM 6001 98
3:06 PM 0831 156
3:28 PM 3943 179
8:22 AM 3104 82

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions